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SELECTED PROJECTS

sidecontrol Foresight Seminars HealthCare Futures Learning Innovation Pro-Poor Foresight Health Despair
Selected Projects B
Healthcare Futures
Learning Innovation
Pro Poor
Health Despair
Health Despair

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SELECTED SPEECHES AND WORKSHOPS

Health Canada – Science and Technology Foresight Workshop
In December 2009, Clem Bezold delivered a keynote speech on "Healthcare 2030" for Health Canada, the health ministry of Canada.  Dr. Bezold highlighted the significant promise from health science and health technology, such as: advances in our understanding of disease and prevention; cures for cancers, diabetes, and other chronic diseases; new understanding of ageing and how to slow it down; and a recognition of social determinants of health and how to change them.  At the same time, Dr. Bezold pointed out that health care systems are unsustainable and sometimes toxic.  Both in the United States and Canada, healthcare systems are on track to break the bank.  The U.S. Medicare program is likely to be insolvent before 2020.  Provincial budgets in Canada, similar to U.S. state budgets, include significant healthcare spending as well.  For example, 42% of British Columbia's 2005 provincial budget was spent on healthcare, and by 2017 this spending is estimated to be 70%.  Regarding healthcare system toxicity, in the U.S. 98,000–200,000 people die prematurely each year because of medical errors.  And pharmaceutical use generates significant side effects and costs: in 2000 there were $148 billion in pharmaceutical sales in the U.S. and an estimated $177 billion spent on healthcare expenses from pharmaceutical use in the ambulatory setting.

HEALTHCARE SYSTEM

IAF has worked on the future of the healthcare system from every perspective: consumers, providers, payers, regulators, and industry. As the U.S. healthcare system continues its evolution and as new technologies enter the sector, IAF helps clients understand the potential futures that lie ahead.

PROJECTS

Disparity Reducing Advances (DRA) Project

The Disparity Reducing Advances Project (the DRA Project) is a multi-year, multi-stakeholder project developed by IAF to identify the most promising advances for bringing health gains to the poor and underserved and accelerating the development and deployment of these advances to reduce disparities.  Click here for more information.

Future of Orthotics and Prosthetics

In 2009, IAF provided the American Board of Certification of Orthotics, Prosthetics, and Pedorthics with a set of forecasts and scenarions, with IAF used to facilitate meetings of the Board's senior management.

AARP Healthcare Industry 2018

In 2008, IAF developed a set of four scenarios for the health industry in 2018 by conducting an environmental scan, developing forecasts, and interviewing more than 20 thought leaders.  IAF then facilitated a workshop with AARP senior managers, who explored the scenarios and identified implications for AARP strategy.

PUBLICATIONS

2019 Healthcare That Works For All

In order to stimulate the health policy community with a clear picture of what successful healthcare reform will look like, IAF offers 2019 Healthcare That Works For All.  This series of papers describes how different aspects of healthcare can improve through a ten year change process.  We invite readers to challenge this view of the preferred future for healthcare by thinking about what might be even better.  Click here to visit the overview page and read the papers.

Complementary and Alternative Approaches in U.S. Health Care

Studies have shown that between 33 and 69 percent of Americans use some form of alternative therapy, most often paying "out of pocket" for the care. IAF produced two major reports. One, The Future of Complementary and Alternative Approaches (CAAs) in U.S. Health Care, examines a wide range of trends bringing about major changes in health and health care and then considers the future of three different CAAs: chiropractic, Oriental medicine, and homeopathy. The second, The Future of Chiropractic: Optimizing Health Gains, covers similar territory but focuses on the chiropractic profession. Made possible by a grant from the National Chiropractic Mutual Insurance Company and administered by the Foundation for Chiropractic Education and Research (FCER), the reports include IAF's recommendations for health care systems, policymakers, and health care professionals (both conventional and alternative).

Guidebook for Nurse Futurists

IAF prepared this futures guidebook for the International Council of Nurses’ (ICN) 100th anniversary.  The Guidebook contains ICN’s Vision for the Future of Nursing and a wealth of information on trends affecting the profession, as well as instructions for conducting participatory strategic thinking exercises.  Click here for the Guidebook.